ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship

Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a crucial driver of fire weather in Australia, with the correlation between ENSO and Australian fire weather having intensified over the past 2 decades. However, the underlying causes for this change have not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we utilize reanalysis datasets and numerical model simulations to demonstrate that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) could potentially modulate the ENSO–Australian fire weather relationship. The correlation between ENSO and the Australian Fire Weather Index (FWI) increases from 0.17 to 0.70 as the AMO transitions from its negative to positive phase. This strengthening effect can be attributed to atmospheric teleconnection mechanisms. Specifically, the positive AMO phase, characterized by warming in the northern and tropical Atlantic, generates Rossby wave trains, leading to high-pressure systems over Australia. Consequently, local temperature and wind speed increase, while precipitation decreases. This signal, superimposed on ENSO, serves to amplify the ENSO effect on Australian fire weather.

Impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Relationship of the Spring Arctic Oscillation and the Following East Asian Summer Monsoon in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 15 (2020)

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Modulation of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on ENSO-East Asian early summer monsoon connection: role of a tropical pathway

Modulation of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on ENSO-East Asian early summer monsoon connection: role of a tropical pathway

ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation - an overview

Atlantic multidecadal oscillation - Wikipedia

Frontiers Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Modulates the Relation of ENSO With the Precipitation in the Central-Western Indian Ocean

ACP - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation modulates the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation and fire weather in Australia

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Asymmetrical Modulation of the Relationship Between the Western Pacific Pattern and El Niño–Southern Oscillation by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Boreal Winter - Aru - 2023 - Geophysical Research Letters - Wiley Online Library

Frontiers Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Modulates the Relation of ENSO With the Precipitation in the Central-Western Indian Ocean