Presidential Approval and the Recall Referendum in Mexico

The recall referendum known as "consulta de Revocación de Mandato" scheduled for April 10th has at least two features that clearly play in favor of President López Obrador: on one hand, the official question wording yields extra points to the President compared to a simpler and more balanced wording for recall and to the more conventional presidential approval question. On the other hand, the opposition’s strategy of demobilizing angry voters is likely to give the President an even more favorable outcome, in a way that the referendum’s result may not reflect the actual weight of citizen voices for and against the President. Let me explain.

Mexicans vote on recall of president, an effort he asked for - Times of India

Mexico's Upcoming Presidential Recall Election Has Been Hijacked by the President's Party — IACL-IADC Blog

Mexican President Lopez Obrador wins low-turnout recall vote, early count shows

AMLO's Nationalist Agenda Loses Steam After Defeat in Mexico Congress - Bloomberg

Approval ratings of last five Mexican presidents throughout their term 1994-2023

Obrador and the Mexican Recall: A Political Show of Weakness — International Relations Review

López Obrador vows not to seek re-election in Mexico

Mexico Voters Back López Obrador to Stay in Office in Recall Election - The New York Times

Mexican Senate Approves Presidential Recall Referendum Law, News

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